Concerning Russia-India bilateral trade, as of now major banks (Bank Otkritie, Novikombank, Promsvyazbank, Bank Rossiya, Sovcombank, VEB, VTB, Sberbank) in India have suspended remittances between Russia and India in view of the sanctions imposed by the west on the use of the SWIFT system on remittances to or from Russia.
However, India is working on a mechanism to facilitate trade with Russia using local currencies, that is a Ruble/Rupee trade. The Government of India is discussing how trade can be settled in Rubles and Rupees as Indian exporters are awaiting payments of millions of US dollars that have been frozen after sanctions were imposed on Russian banks. It is important to recognize this money still belongs to Indian merchants if it has not been delivered to the Russian vendor and should be returned to India as opposed to being ‘frozen’.
As an alternative, the Reserve Bank of India, the State Bank of India, and the UCO bank have been asked to set-up mechanisms to establish the Rupee/Ruble trade. The underlying principle of this mechanism is that Rubles will be deposited into an Indian bank after converting it into Rupees and vice versa. However, certain challenges exist, such as how to peg the currencies, and how to balance the trade as India is a net importer of Russian goods. China has recently allowed a 10% trading band either way in terms of Ruble-RMB Yuan daily currency movements, it is possible a similar FX structure could be adopted for Ruble/Rupee transactions given the Rubles current volatility.
Many Indian banks already have Ruble nostro accounts, but are awaiting guidelines from the government of India to carry out the transactions. These are expected shortly.
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