Global chicken production is forecast to remain stable in 2022 at 100.1 million tonnes, as growth in some major producers offset declines in Ukraine and China. For most countries, higher feed prices are expected to limit expansion, despite forecast economic recovery supporting modest growth in demand.
As the leading world exporter, Brazil will increase production substantially to backfill global demand created by a drop in Ukraine’s meat exports. Russian production will grow on increased availability of feed grains, but product will remain in the domestic market. Chinese production is forecast lower as pork production continues to recover, and yellow feather broiler production declines due to consumers shifting to online and modern retail channels.
Global trade is expected to remain unchanged in 2022 at nearly 13.4 million tonnes. Much of the drop in global exportable supplies spurred by the absence of Ukraine will be fulfilled by Brazil, being one of the few major exporters able to service a wide array of markets. Turkey and the UK will also increase their exports, driven by modest demand growth in their respective regions. Imports by Ukraine, Russia, and Saudi Arabia will decline, while modest import growth is expected for the UK, Iraq, Cuba and Mexico.
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